Heritability of Intelligence: Twin Studies and Beyond

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The heritability of intelligence is one of the most replicated findings in psychology — and one of the most consistently misunderstood. Six decades of twin and adoption studies, recently joined by genome-wide association studies on samples in the millions, converge on the conclusion that genetic differences explain a substantial fraction of why two adults have different IQ scores. The harder questions are how that fraction is estimated, why it changes across the lifespan, and what it does (and does not) mean for any individual.

The meaning of heritability

Heritability is a population statistic, not a personal one. It expresses the proportion of variation in a trait attributable to genetic differences in the population studied. A heritability of 0.60 for adult IQ means about 60% of the variance in IQ scores in that population reflects genetic differences between people; it does not mean 60% of any individual’s IQ comes from genes, and it does not imply that intelligence is fixed at birth.

Heritability is also context-dependent. In principle, where environments are very unequal, environmental variance is large and heritability estimates fall; where everyone has adequate nutrition, education, and stimulation, environmental variance shrinks and heritability rises. The same trait in two different populations can have different heritability values without anything genetic having changed.

How twin and adoption studies estimate it

The classical method partitions trait variance into three components: additive genetic (A), shared environment (C), and non-shared environment plus measurement error (E). Monozygotic (MZ) twins share approximately 100% of their genome; dizygotic (DZ) twins share approximately 50%. If a trait is more similar in MZ than DZ twin pairs, the difference is attributed to genetic influence.

The most rigorous test is twins reared apart from infancy. Bouchard, Lykken, McGue, Segal, and Tellegen’s (1990) Minnesota Study of Twins Reared Apart followed identical twins separated at birth and reunited in adulthood. The IQ correlation between separated identical twins was approximately 0.75, and the authors attributed about 70% of IQ variance to genetic variation. That is only modestly lower than the 0.86 average for identical twins reared together in Bouchard and McGue’s (1981) review of familial studies, which found about 0.47 for non-twin siblings reared together. The pattern is what additive genetic transmission predicts.

Table 1IQ Correlations by Twin and Sibling Relationship
RelationshipIQ Correlation
Identical Twins Reared Together0.86
Identical Twins Reared Apart0.75
Non-Twin Siblings Reared Together0.47

Note. Twins reared apart: Bouchard, Lykken, McGue, Segal, and Tellegen (1990). Twins and siblings reared together: weighted averages from Bouchard and McGue (1981).

Polderman, Benyamin, de Leeuw, and colleagues’ (2015) meta-analysis of fifty years of twin studies — covering 17,804 traits across 14.5 million twin pairs — produced the most comprehensive estimate to date. Across all traits, the average reported heritability was 49%, and for a majority (69%) of traits the twin correlations were consistent with a purely additive genetic model, with no need for shared-environment or non-additive terms.

The Wilson effect: heritability rises with age

One of the more counterintuitive findings in behavioural genetics is that the heritability of intelligence increases across the lifespan. Haworth and colleagues’ (2010) analysis of six twin studies (11,000 pairs across four countries) reported heritability of general cognitive ability rising linearly from approximately 41% at age 9, to 55% at age 12, to 66% at age 17. Plomin and Deary (2015) summarize the full trajectory as rising from about 20% in infancy to perhaps 80% in later adulthood.

Table 2Heritability of General Cognitive Ability by Age
AgeHeritability
1766%
1255%
941%

Note. Estimates from Haworth and colleagues (2010), illustrating the Wilson effect.

This pattern, known as the Wilson effect, is the opposite of what most people expect. The naive intuition is that as life accumulates, environment matters more and genetic influence becomes diluted. The data say the reverse. The leading explanation is gene-environment correlation: as children gain autonomy, they increasingly select environments (peer groups, educational paths, hobbies, careers) that match and amplify their genetic predispositions. A child with strong verbal ability reads more, which improves verbal ability further, which leads to deeper engagement with verbal material. Genes shape environment, environment shapes phenotype, and the cumulative effect over decades is that adult IQ scores reflect genetic differences more cleanly than child IQ scores do.

The new genetics: polygenic scores and GWAS

Twin studies tell us how much genetic differences collectively matter. Genome-wide association studies (GWAS) attempt to identify the specific variants involved. The picture that has emerged is what Plomin and von Stumm (2018) termed “the new genetics of intelligence”: cognitive ability is influenced not by a handful of large-effect genes but by thousands of common variants each with a tiny individual effect.

Savage et al.’s (2018) GWAS meta-analysis of 269,867 people identified 205 genome-wide significant loci, and polygenic scores built from it explained up to 5.2% of the variance in intelligence in independent samples. That is a small fraction of the 50–80% heritability estimated from twin studies, but a real advance over earlier candidate-gene work, which produced almost nothing replicable. The gap between twin-derived heritability and GWAS-based prediction (the “missing heritability”) reflects in part that current GWAS are still underpowered to detect thousands of tiny effects, and that rare variants are poorly captured by the common-variant arrays these studies use.

Polygenic scores are useful research tools at the population level, but they predict far too little to say anything reliable about an individual. They also illustrate the additive picture: each individual variant contributes only a small fraction of a percent to a person’s score, and no single “gene for intelligence” has been or will be discovered.

Genetic and environmental influences operate at different cognitive levels

Jiang, Sun, Yuan, Jiang, and Wan’s (2024) twin study in Cell Reports added a structural finding to the heritability picture: genetic and environmental influences do not operate uniformly across the cognitive hierarchy. They distinguished first-order abilities (basic perceptual and processing skills) from second-order abilities (metacognition and mentalizing), and reported that first-order abilities were primarily influenced by genetic factors while second-order abilities showed a stronger influence of shared environmental factors.

This complements an older finding: genetic influence on cognition is largely general. Different cognitive abilities correlate about 0.30 on average at the level of observed scores but about 0.60 or higher genetically (Plomin & Deary, 2015), so much of the genetic influence runs through what the abilities share, the g-factor. Environment still moves measured ability: in the schooling literature, each additional year of education raises IQ by roughly 1 to 5 points (Ritchie & Tucker-Drob, 2018).

A second feature special to intelligence is assortative mating. Spouses correlate about 0.40 for intelligence, compared with about 0.20 for height and weight and about 0.10 for personality and psychopathology (Plomin & Deary, 2015). Because partners resemble each other more on intelligence than on most traits, each generation’s pairings add additive genetic variance to the population, which helps explain why the narrow (additive) heritability of intelligence is so high.

Table 3Spouse Correlations by Trait (Plomin & Deary, 2015)
TraitSpouse correlation
Intelligence0.40
Height and weight0.20
Personality and psychopathology0.10

Note. Approximate values summarized by Plomin and Deary (2015). Stronger assortative mating for intelligence adds additive genetic variance each generation.

What heritability does not mean

Several inferences that look natural from “intelligence is 70% heritable” are wrong, and the misinterpretations fuel both genetic determinism and overcorrecting social-constructionist denial.

Heritability does not mean immutability. Phenylketonuria (PKU) is a fully genetic disorder that historically would have been “heritable” for cognitive impairment — until the dietary intervention that prevents it became standard, after which the heritability of PKU-related cognitive deficits collapsed. Heritability describes the current population, not what is possible under different conditions.

Heritability does not apply between groups. A within-population variance estimate cannot be extrapolated to differences in mean IQ between populations — that is a separate empirical question with different and well-known confounders.

Heritability does not exclude environmental intervention. The Flynn effect — population-level IQ gains of roughly 3 points per decade across most of the 20th century — happened in populations where heritability estimates were already high. Heritability and malleability coexist.

Gene-environment interplay rather than additivity

The cleanest framing of the current evidence is not nature versus nurture but nature through nurture. Genes shape which environments people are exposed to (through parental behaviour, peer selection, educational choices, occupational sorting) and how they respond to environments once exposed. The same enriched environment will produce different gains in two children with different genetic predispositions; the same genetic profile will produce different outcomes in different environments. Cogn-IQ’s genes-and-environment overview walks through this interplay accessibly, including how twin and adoption study designs partition variance under realistic assumptions.

Epigenetic mechanisms — modifications that change gene expression without altering DNA sequence — provide one molecular pathway through which environment shapes the readout of the same genome. The science is young but the framework it offers is exactly the gene-environment interplay the heritability literature implies.

What this means in practice

For individuals, heritability is largely irrelevant: it does not tell an individual what their IQ is, what it could become, or how to think about whether and how IQ can be increased. For policy and interpretation, the heritability literature delivers a clear message: cognitive ability has a substantial genetic component that is unlikely to be argued away, and environmental conditions remain a substantial modifier of what that genetic potential expresses as. Genetic determinism and environmental determinism are both wrong; the correct answer is that genes and environment are deeply entangled, and treating either as the “real” cause of intelligence misses what the data show.

Frequently asked questions

How heritable is intelligence?

It depends on age. Heritability rises from about 20% in infancy to perhaps 80% in later adulthood (Plomin & Deary, 2015); in a sample of 11,000 twin pairs it rose from 41% at age 9 to 66% at age 17 (Haworth et al., 2010). Across all human traits studied in twins, the average heritability is 49% (Polderman et al., 2015). The range reflects different populations, age groups, and cognitive tests; the overall picture is robust.

Does that mean intelligence is determined by genes?

No. Heritability describes population variance, not individual destiny. Highly heritable traits can be entirely environmentally caused under different conditions (the PKU example), and high heritability is fully compatible with environmental interventions producing measurable gains, as the Flynn effect and the schooling-effect literature both demonstrate.

What is the Wilson effect?

The finding that the heritability of intelligence rises across childhood, adolescence, and into adulthood. The leading explanation is gene-environment correlation: people increasingly select and shape environments that match their genetic predispositions, amplifying the effect of those predispositions on the adult phenotype.

Are there specific “intelligence genes”?

Not really. Modern genome-wide association studies (Plomin & von Stumm, 2018) show that intelligence is influenced by thousands of common variants, each with a tiny individual effect. Polygenic scores aggregating these variants explained up to about 5% of variance in intelligence in the largest GWAS (Savage et al., 2018) — useful as a research tool, but a long way from twin-derived heritability and a long way from “the gene for IQ.”

Can heritability differ between groups?

Yes, because heritability is population-specific. A trait can be highly heritable in one population (where environments are roughly equal) and only modestly heritable in another (where environmental conditions vary widely). This is also why heritability estimates within a population do not extrapolate to differences in mean trait values between populations — that is a different empirical question with different and well-known methodological pitfalls.

References

  • Bouchard, T. J., Jr., Lykken, D. T., McGue, M., Segal, N. L., & Tellegen, A. (1990). Sources of human psychological differences: The Minnesota Study of Twins Reared Apart. Science, 250(4978), 223–228. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.2218526
  • Bouchard, T. J., Jr., & McGue, M. (1981). Familial studies of intelligence: A review. Science, 212(4498), 1055–1059. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.7195071
  • Haworth, C. M. A., Wright, M. J., Luciano, M., Martin, N. G., de Geus, E. J. C., van Beijsterveldt, C. E. M., Bartels, M., Posthuma, D., Boomsma, D. I., Davis, O. S. P., Kovas, Y., Corley, R. P., DeFries, J. C., Hewitt, J. K., Olson, R. K., Rhea, S.-A., Wadsworth, S. J., Iacono, W. G., McGue, M., … Plomin, R. (2010). The heritability of general cognitive ability increases linearly from childhood to young adulthood. Molecular Psychiatry, 15(11), 1112–1120. https://doi.org/10.1038/mp.2009.55
  • Jiang, S., Sun, F., Yuan, P., Jiang, Y., & Wan, X. (2024). Distinct genetic and environmental origins of hierarchical cognitive abilities in adult humans. Cell Reports, 43(4), 114060. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.celrep.2024.114060
  • Plomin, R., & Deary, I. J. (2015). Genetics and intelligence differences: Five special findings. Molecular Psychiatry, 20(1), 98–108. https://doi.org/10.1038/mp.2014.105
  • Plomin, R., & von Stumm, S. (2018). The new genetics of intelligence. Nature Reviews Genetics, 19(3), 148–159. https://doi.org/10.1038/nrg.2017.104
  • Polderman, T. J. C., Benyamin, B., de Leeuw, C. A., Sullivan, P. F., van Bochoven, A., Visscher, P. M., & Posthuma, D. (2015). Meta-analysis of the heritability of human traits based on fifty years of twin studies. Nature Genetics, 47(7), 702–709. https://doi.org/10.1038/ng.3285
  • Ritchie, S. J., & Tucker-Drob, E. M. (2018). How much does education improve intelligence? A meta-analysis. Psychological Science, 29(8), 1358–1369. https://doi.org/10.1177/0956797618774253
  • Savage, J. E., Jansen, P. R., Stringer, S., Watanabe, K., Bryois, J., de Leeuw, C. A., … Posthuma, D. (2018). Genome-wide association meta-analysis in 269,867 individuals identifies new genetic and functional links to intelligence. Nature Genetics, 50(7), 912–919. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41588-018-0152-6

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What does heritability actually mean?

Heritability is a population statistic, not a personal one. It expresses the proportion of variation in a trait attributable to genetic differences in the population studied. A heritability of 0.60 for adult IQ means about 60% of the variance in IQ scores in that population reflects genetic differences between people; it does not mean 60% of any individual's IQ comes from genes, and it does not imply that intelligence is fixed at birth.

How do twin and adoption studies estimate heritability?

The classical method partitions trait variance into three components: additive genetic (A), shared environment (C), and non-shared environment plus measurement error (E). Monozygotic (MZ) twins share approximately 100% of their genome; dizygotic (DZ) twins share approximately 50%. If a trait is more similar in MZ than DZ twin pairs, the difference is attributed to genetic influence.